ACC News Brief

Energy Policy United States

EIA forecasts record U.S. marketed natural gas production in 2026

Natural gas wells and processing equipment operate across a broad U.S. shale landscape at dusk.
Image credit: Affect Climate Change Inc. custom editorial artwork; evidence source: U.S. Energy Information Administration

What happened

The U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts marketed natural gas production averaging 122.5 billion cubic feet per day in 2026, up from 118.5 billion in 2025. EIA says first-half 2026 output was about 4% higher than a year earlier, with growth led by the Permian and Haynesville regions.

Why it matters

Higher production can affect power prices, exports, infrastructure, methane management, and the pace of the energy transition. The annual figure is a forecast, not a completed total, and this EIA item does not calculate the resulting greenhouse-gas emissions.

What to watch

  • Whether second-half production, prices, drilling, and pipeline constraints match EIA's assumptions.
  • Methane measurement and enforcement across wells, gathering systems, processing, and transmission.
  • How LNG exports, electricity demand, renewables, storage, and efficiency change domestic gas use.

Sources & evidence

Topics

  • Natural Gas
  • EIA
  • Production Forecast
  • Permian Basin
  • Methane